Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 38 | 8-22 | 3-14 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | -1.3 |
| C. Matthews | 36 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5.1 |
| R. Kugel | 31 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +2.8 |
| K. Murphy | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | -9.0 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -10.4 |
| R. Melendez | 20 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +3.1 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -9.3 |
| M. Nwoko | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
| D. Warren | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bates | 33 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | +17.4 |
| T. Perkins | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 21 | +12.8 |
| C. Grill | 30 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | +8.7 |
| J. Crews | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +3.5 |
| J. Gray | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +9.6 |
| T. Pierce | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -16.2 |
| A. Robinson II | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +5.3 |
| M. Mitchell | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| A. Shaw | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| M. Warrick | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4.8 |
* = starter