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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Matthews 37 1-4 0-2 0-0 8 2 2 0 5 2 5 +1.8
J. Hubbard 34 5-16 4-12 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 14 0 -4.2
R. Kugel 25 3-12 2-7 4-5 2 1 1 0 1 12 3 -15.4
R. Melendez 22 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 10 8 +12.2
C. Harris Jr. 22 2-6 2-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 8 6 +2.5
M. Nwoko 21 0-2 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 2 0 1 6 +5.7
K. Murphy 21 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 9 6 -5.4
S. Jones Jr. 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -12.0

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Zeigler 38 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 7 5 0 4 9 11 +5.9
C. Lanier 32 8-17 5-12 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 23 11 +6.6
F. Okpara 32 2-6 1-1 4-5 12 0 0 1 2 9 14 -1.1
J. Mashack 27 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 10 9 -5.2
J. Gainey 25 3-7 0-3 4-4 2 2 0 2 0 10 9 +11.1
I. Milicic Jr. 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 3 3 +9.3
C. Phillips 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 8 +9.5
D. Dubar 7 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -2.1
B. Boswell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter