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Michigan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2019 Team Stats (31 games)

79.3
PPG
64.5
Opp
+14.8
Margin
49.0%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
76.8%
FT%
40.5
RPG
19.1
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
81.8
Adj PPG
59.8
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1390 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1212 (#4) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +23.6 (#4) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +20.7 (#4) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.885 (#8) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.7 More → 0.980 (#4) AdjNet +33.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.2 More → 0.981 (#4) AdjNet +34.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.881 (#4) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 59.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 60.8 More → 0.778 (#6) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 60.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.923 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.912 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 39 More → 1407 (#4) RD 85 | GP 39

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 87 - 92
2018-11-11 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 106 - 82
2018-11-14 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 80 - 59
2018-11-18 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 101 - 33
2018-11-22 @ UCLA Bruins W 87 - 67
2018-11-23 @ Texas Longhorns W 78 - 68
2018-11-27 @ Louisville Cardinals L 78 - 82
2018-11-30 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 78 - 67
2018-12-03 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 90 - 68
2018-12-08 @ Florida Gators W 63 - 59
2018-12-16 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 104 - 83
2018-12-21 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 99 - 69
2018-12-29 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 88 - 60
2019-01-02 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 81 - 55
2019-01-05 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 86 - 77
2019-01-08 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 77 - 59
2019-01-13 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 71 - 56
2019-01-17 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 70 - 64
2019-01-21 vs Maryland Terrapins W 69 - 55
2019-01-24 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 82 - 67
2019-01-27 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 63 - 73
2019-02-02 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 75 - 79
2019-02-05 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 74 - 79
2019-02-09 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 79 - 55
2019-02-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 67 - 59
2019-02-17 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 62 - 44
2019-02-20 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 71 - 60
2019-02-24 @ Michigan Wolverines W 77 - 70
2019-03-02 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 62 - 63
2019-03-05 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 91 - 76
2019-03-09 vs Michigan Wolverines W 75 - 63
2019-03-15 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 77 - 70
2019-03-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 67 - 55
2019-03-17 vs Michigan Wolverines W 65 - 60
2019-03-21 vs Bradley Braves W 76 - 65
2019-03-23 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 70 - 50
2019-03-29 vs LSU Tigers W 80 - 63
2019-03-31 @ Duke Blue Devils W 68 - 67
2019-04-06 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 51 - 61

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cassius Winston Cassius Winston - 39 33.5 18.8 3.0 7.5 1.0 0.1 2.9 12.0 15.4 401 38 10.6 13.2 47.3 40.3 82.8 5.23 67.2 55.1
Joshua Langford Joshua Langford G 13 28.6 15.0 3.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 2.4 8.9 10.5 146 13 11.2 16.4 41.4 34.6 78.3 0.13 77.3 49.1
Nick Ward Nick Ward F 34 20.8 12.9 6.1 0.7 0.3 1.2 2.0 7.7 11.5 198 33 6.0 12.1 59.8 100.0 67.3 0.85 67.1 60.2
Xavier Tillman Xavier Tillman - 39 24.0 10.0 7.3 1.6 0.9 1.7 1.5 5.7 14.4 304 38 8.0 14.0 60.6 28.0 74.6 4.04 71.3 62.2
Matt McQuaid Matt McQuaid G 36 31.4 9.8 3.0 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.0 6.8 7.8 293 35 8.4 11.3 44.7 42.5 82.0 -0.36 66.5 58.6
Kenny Goins Kenny Goins F 39 30.3 7.9 8.9 2.3 0.7 1.3 1.5 6.3 13.4 353 38 9.3 12.8 41.4 35.4 72.2 3.65 59.5 52.0
Aaron Henry Aaron Henry F 39 22.1 6.1 3.8 1.6 0.6 0.5 1.3 4.4 6.9 228 38 6.0 11.5 48.0 34.3 68.3 0.8 62.0 51.4
Kyle Ahrens Kyle Ahrens G 30 18.8 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.7 3.7 4.6 191 29 6.6 14.8 44.5 28.6 78.6 2.15 60.7 52.7
Gabe Brown Gabe Brown F 32 8.0 2.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.9 65 32 2.0 10.7 41.1 40.0 76.9 -0.39 58.3 55.4
Foster Loyer Foster Loyer - 35 5.9 1.6 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.3 66 35 1.9 13.6 38.5 32.0 92.3 1.09 62.6 48.7
Thomas Kithier Thomas Kithier F 30 6.1 1.6 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.2 50 30 1.7 12.6 78.6 0 50.0 1.4 80.0 78.6
Marcus Bingham Marcus Bingham F 23 3.6 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.8 18 24 0.8 8.8 31.6 46.2 55.6 -1.16 50.1 47.4
Jack Hoiberg Jack Hoiberg G 14 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 5 14 0.4 11.3 33.3 66.7 100.0 -0.19 64.4 50.0
Conner George Conner George G 18 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 5 18 0.3 7.2 42.9 0 100.0 -0.56 63.5 42.9
Braden Burke Braden Burke C 9 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 1 9 0.1 3.1 40.0 0 50.0 -0.51 42.5 40.0
Brock Washington Brock Washington G 7 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1 7 0.1 5.8 20.0 0.0 100.0 -0.68 27.6 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG