Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (67-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 40 | 9-23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 29 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Nick Ward | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goldwire | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 37 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Alex O'Connell * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cam Reddish | 37 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack White | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter