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2018-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% -
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% -

Actual: Florida Gators -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Langford * 37 5-11 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 5 13 3 -
C. Winston * 36 4-13 0-5 2-2 2 6 0 0 2 10 3 -
K. Goins * 29 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 1 1 3 8 -
N. Ward * 21 6-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 1 2 13 10 -
K. Ahrens * 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
X. Tillman 28 6-7 0-0 2-3 9 1 3 1 1 14 20 -
M. McQuaid 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Henry 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard * 34 6-12 1-4 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 13 3 -
K. Allen * 31 5-15 3-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 13 -1 -
K. Stone * 25 3-10 1-5 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
K. Hayes * 21 1-5 0-0 4-5 8 0 2 1 0 6 12 -
N. Locke * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Ballard 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Hudson 15 1-3 0-1 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
K. Johnson 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 6 6 -
D. Bassett 11 1-3 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
I. Stokes 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Okauru 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter