Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Reid * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Mays * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Waters * | 29 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| J. Smart * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Bigby-Williams * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Taylor | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Days | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Reese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Graves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Winston * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry * | 38 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| K. Goins * | 33 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| X. Tillman * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. McQuaid * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Brown | 16 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| N. Ward | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| F. Loyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter