Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Winston * | 35 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 7-11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| M. McQuaid * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Ahrens * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Ward * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| K. Goins * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| X. Tillman | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Henry | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Loyer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lane | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wesson * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Wesson * | 29 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Jackson * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Woods * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Muhammad * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Washington Jr. | 26 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Young | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Jallow | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ahrens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. LeDee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter