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2019-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 71.2% 28.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 67.3% 32.7% -
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Log Adjusted 90.8% 9.2% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Winston * 35 8-12 2-6 7-11 2 5 1 0 2 25 19 -
M. McQuaid * 30 3-6 2-4 4-4 6 2 0 0 0 12 14 -
K. Ahrens * 30 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
N. Ward * 29 5-7 0-0 11-14 8 0 0 3 1 21 24 -
K. Goins * 28 1-7 0-1 4-4 8 1 2 1 2 6 9 -
X. Tillman 23 3-5 0-1 2-2 5 4 1 0 2 8 11 -
A. Henry 14 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 5 -
G. Brown 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
F. Loyer 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lane 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wesson * 29 3-7 2-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
K. Wesson * 29 9-15 1-2 6-9 8 0 0 0 0 25 18 -
C.J. Jackson * 28 4-10 2-4 0-0 5 5 4 0 0 10 14 -
K. Woods * 28 0-5 0-3 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Muhammad * 27 3-8 0-1 6-8 2 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
D. Washington Jr. 26 4-11 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
K. Young 21 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 8 -
M. Jallow 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Ahrens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. LeDee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter