Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Winston * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| M. McQuaid * | 34 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Goins * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Ward * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| A. Henry * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| X. Tillman | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Kithier | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Loyer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cook * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Bohannon * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Garza * | 26 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Wieskamp * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Moss * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| N. Baer | 21 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. McCaffery | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Kriener | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Dailey | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Till | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter