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2019-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.3% 96.7% -
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (62-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wesson * 29 5-11 0-1 2-5 9 0 0 1 3 12 8 -
A. Wesson * 29 2-10 0-2 0-0 8 4 3 0 3 4 6 -
C.J. Jackson * 26 3-9 2-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 8 6 -
M. Jallow * 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 3 8 -
L. Muhammad * 21 1-9 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -8 -
D. Washington Jr. 24 1-7 1-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
K. Woods 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
K. Young 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
J. Ahrens 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. LeDee 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Lane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hoiberg 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. McQuaid * 37 5-12 4-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 14 11 -
K. Goins * 33 4-8 2-6 0-0 10 2 1 3 2 10 16 -
C. Winston * 33 3-15 1-7 6-6 3 8 1 2 3 13 9 -
N. Ward * 19 3-7 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 2 9 7 -
A. Henry * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Ahrens 29 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 6 4 -
X. Tillman 17 2-4 0-1 1-2 6 1 2 1 1 5 10 -
T. Kithier 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
F. Loyer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Bingham Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. George 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter