Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Winston * | 39 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-9 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| M. McQuaid * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Henry * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Goins * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Ward * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| X. Tillman | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| G. Brown | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Kithier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Loyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Edwards * | 38 | 4-19 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| R. Cline * | 35 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| N. Eastern * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| G. Eifert * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Haarms | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Wheeler | 16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Stefanovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter