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2019-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Happ * 33 10-20 0-0 0-1 6 3 2 4 1 20 14 -
B. Davison * 32 2-9 0-5 1-1 3 1 1 1 0 5 2 -
D. Trice * 31 3-10 1-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 7 5 -
K. Iverson * 27 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
N. Reuvers * 20 0-7 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -
K. King 26 5-10 1-3 2-3 3 0 0 0 2 13 4 -
A. Ford 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Pritzl 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Thomas IV 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
W. McGrory 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ballard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McQuaid * 37 2-9 2-5 2-2 1 1 2 0 3 8 0 -
K. Goins * 36 4-9 4-7 1-2 12 4 0 2 2 13 20 -
A. Henry * 30 2-6 2-2 0-0 11 2 1 0 3 6 11 -
X. Tillman * 29 5-8 0-1 7-9 7 4 0 1 1 17 20 -
C. Winston * 28 9-17 1-5 2-2 2 6 0 0 2 21 10 -
F. Loyer 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Ward 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 2 3 -
K. Ahrens 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Kithier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter