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2019-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% -
Log Adjusted 78.4% 21.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Winston * 39 8-17 4-7 3-4 6 6 0 0 4 23 14 -
M. McQuaid * 35 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
K. Goins * 35 4-9 3-6 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 12 11 -
A. Henry * 28 4-6 0-2 0-0 5 2 2 2 1 8 12 -
N. Ward * 24 5-9 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 3 3 12 12 -
X. Tillman 21 1-4 0-1 2-2 7 0 2 2 2 4 9 -
K. Ahrens 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
F. Loyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Happ * 35 10-20 0-0 0-6 12 3 2 1 6 20 12 -
B. Davison * 33 3-12 2-8 1-2 2 3 1 0 0 9 3 -
N. Reuvers * 30 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 11 7 -
D. Trice * 29 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 2 2 -
K. Iverson * 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. King 28 3-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
B. Pritzl 18 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
C. Thomas IV 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
A. Ford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter