Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +24 (79-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kalscheur * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Murphy * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Coffey * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| D. Oturu * | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. McBrayer * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Stull | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Stockman | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| I. Washington | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Omersa | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Hurt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McQuaid * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| N. Ward * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| A. Henry * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Winston * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Goins * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Kithier | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| X. Tillman | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| F. Loyer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Brown | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. George | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Burke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter