Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cook * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| I. Moss * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Bohannon * | 25 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Wieskamp * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Garza * | 22 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. McCaffery | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Dailey | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Kriener | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Baer | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Till | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Langford * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Goins * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 30 | - |
| C. Winston * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| N. Ward * | 23 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| K. Ahrens * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| X. Tillman | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| G. Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Loyer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Kithier | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Burke | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter