Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Langford * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Winston * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Goins * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| N. Ward * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| K. Ahrens * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| X. Tillman | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Henry | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| G. Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Loyer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kiss * | 33 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| E. Omoruyi * | 30 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| G. Baker * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| I. Thiam * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Doorson * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Mathis | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Harper Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Johnson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. McConnell | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Doucoure | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Carter | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter