Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.3% | 8.7% | -12.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -11 (67-78). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Langford * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Kiss * | 33 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Eugene Omoruyi * | 30 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Geo Baker * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Issa Thiam * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille Doorson * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Montez Mathis | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ron Harper | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Myles Johnson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mamadou Doucoure | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shaq Carter | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter