Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Edwards * | 36 | 3-16 | 2-13 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -9 | - |
| R. Cline * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Eastern * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Eifert * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| E. Boudreaux * | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Williams | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wheeler | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Stefanovic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Haarms | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Winston * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| K. Goins * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22 | - |
| M. McQuaid * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Ahrens * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Ward * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| A. Henry | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| X. Tillman | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| G. Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| F. Loyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Kithier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter