Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Goins * | 37 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Winston * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 11 | - |
| K. Ahrens * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. McQuaid * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| X. Tillman * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| N. Ward | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Henry | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| G. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Loyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 33 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 12 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 30 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Jordan * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Williams * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Feliz | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Nichols | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. De La Rosa | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Kane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter