East Tennessee State Buccaneers
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
77.6
PPG
69.3
Opp
+8.3
Margin
48.7%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
74.1%
FT%
33.5
RPG
14.3
APG
10.2
TO
76.0
Pace
73.5
AdjO
72.9
AdjD
#153
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1091 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1053 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1038 (#126) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.2 (#158) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.2 (#169) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.740 (#52) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.543 (#160) | NetEff +1.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.533 (#152) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.533 (#152) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.513 (#153) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.605 (#112) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.795 (#136) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#135) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1089 (#145) | RD 141 | GP 32 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Taylor II
|
- | 32 | 33.5 | 14.8 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 11.6 | 9.8 | - | - | - | 46.5 | 35.1 | 76.0 | - | 57.0 | 53.5 |
B. Barkley
|
- | 31 | 28.4 | 14.3 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 11.9 | 122 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 57.7 | 38.3 | 83.1 | 0.79 | 67.5 | 61.1 |
C. Morris III
|
- | 32 | 25.8 | 13.3 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 8.4 | 12.7 | 142 | 6.2 | 12.0 | 56.7 | 32.3 | 66.9 | 1.06 | 62.2 | 58.5 |
J. Smith
|
G | 32 | 24.8 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 7.9 | 6.6 | 135 | 5.2 | 12.4 | 40.1 | 34.3 | 79.2 | 0.12 | 53.2 | 49.8 |
J. McCullum
|
F | 32 | 21.9 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 82 | 3.6 | 9.3 | 53.4 | 19.0 | 69.5 | 0.17 | 59.2 | 55.5 |
M. Johnson
|
G | 32 | 22.3 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 6.2 | -44 | -0.7 | -57.4 | 42.4 | 39.5 | 64.3 | -0.23 | 59.8 | 59.3 |
B. Crump
|
- | 10 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 49 | 4.5 | 15.4 | 51.1 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 55.4 | 54.3 |
A. Strothers
|
G | 32 | 21.6 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 5.8 | -20 | -0.9 | -2.3 | 46.5 | 30.8 | 70.3 | 0.15 | 54.6 | 50.5 |
M. Matthews
|
G | 22 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 42 | 3.5 | 26.5 | 40.0 | 39.0 | 75.0 | 0.06 | 57.1 | 56.4 |
G. Sisk
|
G | 17 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 18 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 54.3 | 10.0 | 89.5 | -0.11 | 64.6 | 55.7 |
Isaiah Sutherland
|
- | 22 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 27 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 36.9 | 32.7 | 40.0 | 0.11 | 49.1 | 49.2 |
Henry Sisemore
|
- | 6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.0 | 39.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Maddox Huff
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Frederico Whitaker Jr.
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 4.0 | 88.1 | - | - | - | 0.07 | - | - |
Joseph Carter
|
- | 6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 8 | 1.3 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG