🐻⬇️🏀

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Also known as: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

77.6
PPG
69.3
Opp
+8.3
Margin
48.7%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
74.1%
FT%
33.5
RPG
14.3
APG
10.2
TO
76.0
Pace
73.5
AdjO
72.9
AdjD
#153
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1091 (#107) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1038 (#126) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +0.2 (#158) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.2 (#169) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.740 (#52) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.5 More → 0.543 (#160) NetEff +1.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.2 More → 0.533 (#152) AdjNet +1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More → 0.533 (#152) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.513 (#153) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 72.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.605 (#112) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.795 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.762 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 32 More → 1089 (#145) RD 141 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Converse University Valkyries W 102 - 50
2025-11-08 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 64 - 68
2025-11-12 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 75 - 63
2025-11-15 @ North Alabama Lions W 78 - 74
2025-11-21 vs Morehead State Eagles W 77 - 62
2025-11-23 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 97 - 55
2025-11-29 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 80 - 57
2025-12-02 @ Dayton Flyers L 71 - 88
2025-12-05 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 91 - 65
2025-12-12 @ Austin Peay Governors L 75 - 76
2025-12-16 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 58 - 77
2025-12-20 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 75 - 81
2025-12-30 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 74 - 49
2026-01-03 vs Mercer Bears W 77 - 71
2026-01-07 vs VMI Keydets W 81 - 67
2026-01-10 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 86 - 60
2026-01-14 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 68 - 72
2026-01-21 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 67 - 66
2026-01-24 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 84 - 55
2026-01-29 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 88 - 90
2026-01-31 @ Wofford Terriers W 86 - 72
2026-02-04 vs Furman Paladins W 75 - 71
2026-02-07 @ VMI Keydets W 87 - 70
2026-02-11 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 73 - 61
2026-02-14 vs Samford Bulldogs L 72 - 82
2026-02-18 @ Furman Paladins W 78 - 69
2026-02-21 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 87 - 75
2026-02-25 vs Wofford Terriers L 69 - 72
2026-02-28 @ Mercer Bears L 76 - 82
2026-03-07 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 83 - 76
2026-03-08 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 69 - 67
2026-03-09 vs Furman Paladins L 61 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Taylor II B. Taylor II - 32 33.5 14.8 3.7 2.9 1.2 0.2 1.4 11.6 9.8 - - - 46.5 35.1 76.0 - 57.0 53.5
B. Barkley B. Barkley - 31 28.4 14.3 5.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 1.6 8.5 11.9 122 5.5 9.3 57.7 38.3 83.1 0.79 67.5 61.1
C. Morris III C. Morris III - 32 25.8 13.3 5.3 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.3 8.4 12.7 142 6.2 12.0 56.7 32.3 66.9 1.06 62.2 58.5
J. Smith J. Smith G 32 24.8 9.2 2.5 3.0 1.3 0.2 1.7 7.9 6.6 135 5.2 12.4 40.1 34.3 79.2 0.12 53.2 49.8
J. McCullum J. McCullum F 32 21.9 8.4 3.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 6.0 7.6 82 3.6 9.3 53.4 19.0 69.5 0.17 59.2 55.5
M. Johnson M. Johnson G 32 22.3 5.9 3.3 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.3 4.7 6.2 -44 -0.7 -57.4 42.4 39.5 64.3 -0.23 59.8 59.3
B. Crump B. Crump - 10 15.0 5.5 3.0 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 4.7 4.5 49 4.5 15.4 51.1 25.0 66.7 0.13 55.4 54.3
A. Strothers A. Strothers G 32 21.6 3.9 2.0 2.9 1.2 0.2 1.3 3.1 5.8 -20 -0.9 -2.3 46.5 30.8 70.3 0.15 54.6 50.5
M. Matthews M. Matthews G 22 9.6 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 3.2 2.9 42 3.5 26.5 40.0 39.0 75.0 0.06 57.1 56.4
G. Sisk G. Sisk G 17 9.0 3.3 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.1 18 1.1 7.5 54.3 10.0 89.5 -0.11 64.6 55.7
Isaiah Sutherland Isaiah Sutherland - 22 10.3 3.0 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.0 2.0 27 1.8 10.2 36.9 32.7 40.0 0.11 49.1 49.2
Henry Sisemore Henry Sisemore - 6 3.0 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 6 1.0 39.6 50.0 0 0 0.02 50.0 50.0
Maddox Huff Maddox Huff G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Frederico Whitaker Jr. Frederico Whitaker Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 4 4.0 88.1 - - - 0.07 - -
Joseph Carter Joseph Carter - 6 2.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.2 8 1.3 43.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG