Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.9% | 20.1% | -7.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor II | 35 | 6-19 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - |
| C. Morris III | 31 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | -14.8 |
| B. Barkley | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -0.9 |
| A. Strothers | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13.2 |
| J. Smith | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
| G. Sisk | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -9.9 |
| M. Johnson | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5.4 |
| J. McCullum | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -0.4 |
| I. Sutherland | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +3.4 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Frison | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +10.2 |
| T. Darner | 34 | 6-13 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +6.4 |
| B. Watkins | 32 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +7.3 |
| J. Bowman | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | +13.2 |
| C. Mulholland | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -0.6 |
| B. Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +0.6 |
| M. Richards | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +5.2 |
| J. Johnson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
| H. Holland | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| T. Washington Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Robison | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter