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Mercer Bears 71
@
East Tennessee State Buccaneers 77
2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - ✓

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Okojie 35 5-15 0-6 5-6 2 4 2 0 5 15 3 -6.6
B. Shoulders 34 7-11 4-6 3-4 8 1 1 0 0 21 20 -4.4
Z. Williams 33 5-11 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 13 3 -8.6
A. Mighty 31 1-5 0-0 2-5 9 0 0 1 1 4 8 -9.5
C. Serven 28 3-8 0-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 5 -15.2
Q. Perkins II 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 8 8 +6.7
T. Gross 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -1.6
B. Pierre 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -4.9

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor II 39 5-12 1-5 10-12 8 2 0 1 3 21 17 -
B. Barkley 35 7-12 2-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 3 19 9 +12.2
C. Morris III 32 5-14 0-2 2-3 6 1 2 3 0 12 10 +14.3
M. Johnson 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 6 9 +10.1
J. Smith 21 3-8 1-3 6-6 3 1 2 0 1 13 10 +13.8
J. McCullum 19 2-7 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 5 1 -1.2
A. Strothers 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 1 6 +6.0
G. Sisk 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -12.0

* = starter