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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% -
Points Off/Def 33.5% 66.5% -

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Booth 44 4-14 3-9 8-10 2 2 4 0 1 19 12 -
C. Norris 44 2-4 1-3 9-10 3 2 0 0 2 14 13 -
K. Norris 42 3-8 2-6 4-4 12 6 0 0 1 12 21 -
D. Faulkner 35 10-18 0-0 4-6 10 1 0 3 2 24 18 -
Z. Wilburn 29 1-2 1-2 4-6 4 2 3 0 1 7 13 -
K. Martin 14 0-3 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
W. Shaver 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
J. Bjornstad 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor II 44 11-18 3-7 3-4 2 2 2 0 5 28 11 -
C. Morris III 35 1-7 0-2 10-12 8 3 1 1 0 12 18 -
J. McCullum 35 3-6 0-1 1-2 7 1 2 2 0 7 13 -
A. Strothers 35 2-9 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 4 -1 -
B. Barkley 35 6-12 0-1 3-4 7 1 1 0 0 15 12 -
M. Johnson 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
J. Smith 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -3 -
I. Sutherland 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Matthews 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter