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Chattanooga Mocs 61
@
East Tennessee State Buccaneers 73
2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% - ✓
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% - ✓
Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - ✓

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Frison 36 6-12 2-3 1-2 6 5 0 0 2 15 12 -
B. Watkins 34 3-6 2-4 3-3 1 0 1 0 2 11 5 -
T. Darner 32 5-7 2-4 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 13 9 -
H. Holland 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 2 7 -
M. Richards 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
C. Mulholland 18 3-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 3 -
B. Smith 15 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
J. Johnson 12 2-6 0-4 5-5 3 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
T. Washington Jr. 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Bowman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Robison 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McCullum 32 7-12 2-5 8-9 6 1 1 0 1 24 19 -
M. Johnson 31 3-6 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
C. Morris III 28 3-8 0-0 5-10 6 1 2 3 0 11 15 -
B. Taylor II 27 3-6 0-1 2-4 3 4 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Smith 25 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
B. Barkley 23 2-6 0-1 7-8 4 1 1 0 1 11 10 -
A. Strothers 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 2 6 -
M. Matthews 11 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 2 1 -

* = starter