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Western Carolina Catamounts 67
@
East Tennessee State Buccaneers 69
2026-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Western Carolina Catamounts East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - ✓
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.5 ✓ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% - ✓

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Carolina Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pettway 36 3-7 2-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 3 9 6 -
C. Stansberry 31 3-11 2-5 8-8 7 2 1 0 3 16 12 -
M. Kell 31 6-13 0-6 6-10 3 1 1 0 2 18 8 -
T. Dioumassi 28 4-12 2-7 4-5 2 1 1 0 2 14 4 -
S. Dada 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 0 7 -
J. Soumaoro 15 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
A. Fanta Kabba 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
J. Johnson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 2 8 -
T. Smith 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor II 40 8-16 4-9 2-3 0 2 0 0 0 22 8 -
J. Smith 36 5-10 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 13 7 -
B. Barkley 31 6-11 1-5 6-8 8 0 0 1 2 19 15 -
J. McCullum 29 4-7 1-1 2-2 6 1 1 2 0 11 14 -
C. Morris III 22 0-1 0-0 1-4 6 3 1 1 2 1 9 -
M. Johnson 21 0-2 0-2 0-2 4 1 2 0 0 0 5 -
I. Sutherland 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Strothers 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 -
M. Matthews 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter