Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor II | 33 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | -12.8 |
| B. Barkley | 31 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -13.0 |
| C. Morris III | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -14.4 |
| M. Johnson | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -1.3 |
| J. Smith | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. McCullum | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +0.6 |
| A. Strothers | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +6.8 |
| M. Matthews | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.5 |
| I. Sutherland | 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +8.3 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Okojie | 37 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 12-17 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | +9.8 |
| A. Mighty | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +8.0 |
| Z. Williams | 34 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +11.8 |
| Q. Perkins II | 33 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +14.7 |
| C. Serven | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | +13.2 |
| K. Cuffe Jr. | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -14.3 |
| B. Pierre | 13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -2.5 |
| TJ Grant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter