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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Western Carolina Catamounts East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% -
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -2 (88-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Carolina Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Soumaoro 34 5-10 5-9 4-4 2 3 0 0 2 19 12 -1.8
S. Dada 33 6-6 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 0 1 12 21 +4.1
C. Stansberry 33 5-12 0-5 9-12 1 5 0 0 2 19 11 +4.8
M. Kell 30 5-9 1-4 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 14 10 +0.3
T. Dioumassi 20 4-6 3-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 11 8 +7.8
T. Pettway 17 2-3 2-3 4-6 1 1 2 0 2 10 9 +3.3
J. Johnson 12 1-7 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -2 -0.1
T. Smith 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 0 7 +5.6
CJ Hyland 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 +2.2

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor II 39 8-15 2-7 6-7 2 7 3 0 2 24 19 -
B. Barkley 36 2-6 0-1 9-11 7 1 0 0 0 13 15 +6.1
C. Morris III 28 4-7 1-2 6-8 5 1 1 0 0 15 15 -0.8
J. Smith 21 4-9 4-7 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 12 8 -14.7
A. Strothers 20 5-7 0-1 1-1 5 1 2 0 1 11 11 -1.5
J. McCullum 20 2-5 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 2 1 8 5 -2.4
M. Johnson 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 +2.3
G. Sisk 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -3.0
I. Sutherland 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -5.6

* = starter