Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cunningham * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 11-15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | -8.3 |
| G. Marshall * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -8.5 |
| A. Mellouk * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -2.7 |
| T. Releford * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2.3 |
| J. LeGree * | 18 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | +7.1 |
| C. Dawson | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -25.3 |
| V. Dawson III | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -16.2 |
| J. Carroll | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -13.7 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor II * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. McCullum * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -0.3 |
| A. Strothers * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | +10.2 |
| C. Morris III * | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | +19.9 |
| B. Barkley * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -1.9 |
| J. Smith | 22 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +17.7 |
| M. Johnson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.9 |
| B. Crump | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| I. Sutherland | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.6 |
| G. Sisk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter