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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% -
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 14.8% 85.2% -
Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Williams 38 7-14 3-8 2-3 5 3 2 0 2 19 13 -
S. Adebisi 36 10-15 1-4 2-4 5 4 1 1 1 23 18 -
C. Moore 31 1-5 0-2 3-3 4 3 0 0 0 5 7 -
C. Kingsbury 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
E. Wali 21 3-5 0-1 0-3 2 1 3 0 2 6 5 -
D. Kearse 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 8 11 -
K. Davis 14 3-8 2-5 3-5 1 0 0 0 0 11 4 -
M. Gonzales 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. Applegate 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
S. German 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
A. Alexander 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor II 35 5-12 1-5 0-1 2 7 2 0 0 11 10 -
M. Johnson 29 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
J. McCullum 28 6-10 0-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 13 9 -
B. Barkley 27 10-11 3-3 1-2 6 0 2 0 1 24 20 -
J. Smith 24 3-4 1-1 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 11 12 -
C. Morris III 23 1-4 0-1 1-3 4 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
A. Strothers 18 1-1 1-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 4 6 6 -
I. Sutherland 10 1-5 1-5 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Matthews 5 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
G. Sisk 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter