Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Applegate | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Williams | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Adebisi | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Wali | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Moore | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Gonzales | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Kearse | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Davis | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bonjasky | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. German | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Menefee | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Hernandez | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 28 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Taylor II | 23 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Barkley | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| C. Morris III | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Johnson | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Strothers | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| I. Sutherland | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. McCullum | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Sisk | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Matthews | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter