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East Tennessee State Buccaneers 86
@
Wofford Terriers 72
2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Wofford Terriers Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - ✓
Margin 68.0% 32.0% -4.1 ✓ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 76.8% 23.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - ✓

Actual: Wofford Terriers -14 (72-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Morris III 33 8-12 0-1 6-6 7 2 5 1 0 22 25 -
B. Barkley 30 4-9 0-2 3-4 6 1 0 1 2 11 8 -
B. Taylor II 27 1-9 0-2 4-4 2 0 0 1 0 6 0 -
A. Strothers 27 2-4 1-1 6-6 2 5 1 0 1 11 14 -
J. McCullum 27 5-8 2-2 5-6 4 1 2 1 0 17 17 -
J. Smith 26 4-7 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 10 7 -
M. Johnson 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Matthews 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

Wofford Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Machowski 39 8-14 4-7 3-5 3 2 0 1 2 23 13 -
C. Watley 38 6-15 1-6 6-6 4 1 0 0 2 19 7 -
C. Vasko 35 2-6 1-4 0-1 2 5 0 0 2 5 4 -
B. Rigsbee 34 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
B. Sumpter 26 5-7 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 3 12 12 -
R. Stirling 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Tyler 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ortega 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Collins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter