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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2015 Team Stats (30 games)

77.4
PPG
65.2
Opp
+13.0
Margin
49.2%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
69.5%
FT%
36.8
RPG
14.6
APG
11.4
TO
77.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1811 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1696 (#3) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +43.6 (#3) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.813 (#12) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More → 0.832 (#7) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.1 More → 0.953 (#3) AdjNet +26.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.5 More → 0.955 (#3) AdjNet +26.5

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 vs Fairfield Stags W 109 - 59
2014-11-30 vs Army Black Knights W 93 - 73
2014-12-15 vs Elon Phoenix W 75 - 62
2014-12-18 vs UConn Huskies W 66 - 56
2014-12-29 vs Toledo Rockets W 86 - 69
2014-12-31 vs Wofford Terriers W 84 - 55
2015-01-03 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 62
2015-01-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 73 - 65
2015-01-11 @ NC State Wolfpack L 75 - 87
2015-01-13 vs Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 90
2015-01-17 @ Louisville Cardinals W 63 - 52
2015-01-19 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 65
2015-01-25 @ St. John's Red Storm W 77 - 68
2015-01-28 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 73 - 77
2015-01-31 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 69 - 63
2015-02-04 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 72 - 66
2015-02-07 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 90 - 60
2015-02-09 @ Florida State Seminoles W 73 - 70
2015-02-14 @ Syracuse Orange W 80 - 72
2015-02-18 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 92 - 90
2015-02-21 vs Clemson Tigers W 78 - 56
2015-02-25 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 91 - 86
2015-02-28 vs Syracuse Orange W 73 - 54
2015-03-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 94 - 51
2015-03-07 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 84 - 77
2015-03-12 vs NC State Wolfpack W 77 - 53
2015-03-13 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 64 - 74
2015-03-20 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 85 - 56
2015-03-22 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 68 - 49
2015-03-27 vs Utah Utes W 63 - 57
2015-03-29 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 66 - 52
2015-04-04 vs Michigan State Spartans W 81 - 61
2015-04-06 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 68 - 63

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Okafor J. Okafor - 32 30.5 17.4 8.7 1.2 0.8 1.4 2.6 9.9 16.9 - - - 67.0 0 51.2 - 71.0 67.0
Q. Cook Q. Cook G 33 36.6 15.3 3.4 2.4 0.9 0.0 1.2 10.5 10.3 - - - 43.7 38.5 88.3 - 65.0 55.0
Justise Winslow Justise Winslow - 33 29.1 12.8 6.7 2.1 1.4 0.9 1.8 8.4 13.7 - - - 49.6 42.9 64.3 - 66.0 56.2
S. Jones S. Jones - 33 34.9 12.1 3.6 5.6 1.5 0.1 2.1 7.8 13.0 -4 -0.8 -3.5 40.5 37.1 89.8 0.24 63.3 47.5
R. Sulaimon R. Sulaimon G 14 20.2 7.4 2.1 1.8 1.1 0.0 1.4 6.6 4.4 - - - 38.0 40.5 69.6 - 50.4 47.3
A. Jefferson A. Jefferson F 33 20.9 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.2 3.3 8.8 - - - 61.5 0 53.5 - 67.7 61.5
M. Jones M. Jones G 33 22.4 5.8 2.6 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.8 5.2 4.6 102 7.8 11.1 37.6 34.8 78.3 1.89 53.6 46.8
S. Ojeleye S. Ojeleye F 2 11.5 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 119.7 0.0
G. Allen G. Allen - 31 9.2 4.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.3 2.9 - - - 38.0 33.3 82.8 - 74.0 46.5
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee C 33 9.5 2.2 2.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.9 4.1 - - - 80.6 0 65.2 - 90.0 80.6
N. Pagliuca N. Pagliuca G 9 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 150.0 0.0
S. Kelly S. Kelly G 9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG