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Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

2009 Team Stats (72 games)

103.4
PPG
100.3
Opp
+3.1
Margin
46.7%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
41.6
RPG
22.1
APG
15.1
TO
96.5
Est. poss./game
103.5
Adj PPG
99.0
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1172 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1142 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1105 (#4) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +4.5 (#6) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +7.5 (#3) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.617 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.4 More โ†’ 0.618 (#6) NetEff +4.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.621 (#6) AdjNet +4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.621 (#6) AdjNet +4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 103.5 | AdjD 99.0 More โ†’ 0.600 (#6) AdjO 103.5 | AdjD 99.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 105.8 | AdjD 99.2 More โ†’ 0.647 (#3) AdjO 105.8 | AdjD 99.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.660 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.669 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 98 More โ†’ 1117 (#4) RD 90 | GP 98

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-29 @ Utah Jazz L 94 - 98
2008-10-31 @ LA Clippers W 113 - 103
2008-11-01 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 104
2008-11-05 @ Golden State Warriors L 101 - 111
2008-11-07 vs Dallas Mavericks W 108 - 105
2008-11-09 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 100 - 90
2008-11-11 @ Charlotte Hornets W 88 - 80
2008-11-13 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 99 - 110
2008-11-14 @ Boston Celtics W 94 - 85
2008-11-16 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 90 - 84
2008-11-18 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 114 - 105
2008-11-19 @ San Antonio Spurs W 91 - 81
2008-11-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 90 - 104
2008-11-23 vs Chicago Bulls W 114 - 101
2008-11-26 @ LA Clippers W 106 - 105
2008-11-27 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 101 - 105
2008-11-29 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 106 - 97
2008-11-30 vs Houston Rockets W 104 - 94
2008-12-02 vs Toronto Raptors W 132 - 93
2008-12-04 vs San Antonio Spurs L 91 - 108
2008-12-06 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2008-12-10 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 116 - 105
2008-12-13 vs Golden State Warriors W 123 - 105
2008-12-15 @ Dallas Mavericks W 98 - 88
2008-12-16 @ Houston Rockets L 96 - 108
2008-12-19 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 88 - 105
2008-12-20 @ Phoenix Suns L 101 - 108
2008-12-22 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 97 - 89
2008-12-23 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2008-12-26 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 101
2008-12-28 @ New York Knicks W 117 - 110
2008-12-31 @ Toronto Raptors W 114 - 107
2009-01-02 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 122 - 120
2009-01-03 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 105 - 100
2009-01-07 vs Miami Heat W 108 - 97
2009-01-09 vs Detroit Pistons L 90 - 93
2009-01-13 vs Dallas Mavericks W 99 - 97
2009-01-15 vs Phoenix Suns W 119 - 113
2009-01-17 vs Orlando Magic L 88 - 106
2009-01-19 @ Houston Rockets L 113 - 115
2009-01-20 vs Sacramento Kings W 118 - 99
2009-01-25 vs Utah Jazz W 117 - 97
2009-01-27 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 100 - 85
2009-01-28 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 81 - 94
2009-01-30 vs Charlotte Hornets W 110 - 99
2009-02-06 @ Washington Wizards W 124 - 103
2009-02-07 @ Brooklyn Nets L 70 - 114
2009-02-10 @ Miami Heat W 99 - 82
2009-02-11 @ Orlando Magic W 82 - 73
2009-02-18 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 101 - 89
2009-02-20 @ Chicago Bulls L 99 - 116
2009-02-22 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 117 - 120
2009-02-23 vs Boston Celtics L 76 - 114
2009-02-25 vs Atlanta Hawks W 110 - 109
2009-02-27 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 90 - 79
2009-03-01 @ Indiana Pacers L 94 - 100
2009-03-03 @ Detroit Pistons L 95 - 100
2009-03-05 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 106 - 90
2009-03-06 @ Utah Jazz L 91 - 97
2009-03-08 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2009-03-09 vs Houston Rockets L 95 - 97
2009-03-11 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 112 - 99
2009-03-14 vs LA Clippers W 107 - 94
2009-03-16 vs Brooklyn Nets W 121 - 96
2009-03-23 @ Phoenix Suns L 115 - 118
2009-03-25 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 101 - 88
2009-03-27 @ Dallas Mavericks W 103 - 101
2009-03-28 vs Golden State Warriors W 129 - 116
2009-03-31 vs New York Knicks W 111 - 104
2009-04-02 vs Utah Jazz W 114 - 104
2009-04-04 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2009-04-05 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 110 - 87
2009-04-08 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 122 - 112
2009-04-09 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 102 - 116
2009-04-13 vs Sacramento Kings W 118 - 98
2009-04-15 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 76 - 104
2009-04-19 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 113 - 84
2009-04-22 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 108 - 93
2009-04-25 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 93 - 95
2009-04-27 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 121 - 63
2009-04-29 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 107 - 86
2009-05-03 vs Dallas Mavericks W 109 - 95
2009-05-05 vs Dallas Mavericks W 117 - 105
2009-05-09 @ Dallas Mavericks W 106 - 105
2009-05-11 @ Dallas Mavericks L 117 - 119
2009-05-13 vs Dallas Mavericks W 124 - 110
2009-05-19 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 103 - 105
2009-05-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 106 - 103
2009-05-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 103
2009-05-25 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 120 - 101
2009-05-27 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 94 - 103
2009-05-29 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 92 - 119

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carmelo Anthony Carmelo Anthony G 57 34.7 22.4 7.1 3.3 1.2 0.4 3.0 18.2 13.1 15 11 1.4 1.2 44.1 38.1 77.9 0.09 52.8 46.8
Allen Iverson G 3 41.0 18.7 2.7 6.7 1.0 0.3 3.3 13.3 12.7 -43 11 -3.9 -3.3 45.0 25.0 72.0 -0.21 54.9 47.5
Chauncey Billups G 68 35.5 18.2 3.1 6.4 1.2 0.2 2.3 12.9 13.9 53 11 4.8 4.1 41.8 40.6 91.9 0.32 59.1 50.1
JR Smith G 71 27.4 14.8 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.2 1.8 11.4 9.3 9 13 0.7 0.6 44.3 39.8 75.4 0.04 57.4 53.8
Nene Hilario Nene Hilario G 68 32.6 14.4 7.7 1.4 1.1 1.3 2.0 9.3 14.6 11 13 0.8 0.7 59.2 20.0 72.8 0.05 63.5 59.3
Kenyon Martin G 61 32.1 11.5 6.1 2.0 1.5 1.1 1.7 9.8 10.8 0 11 0.0 0.0 49.0 36.1 59.4 0.03 52.1 50.1
Linas Kleiza G 72 22.3 10.2 4.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.0 7.9 6.6 30 13 2.3 2.1 45.7 32.1 72.5 0.17 56.2 52.4
Chris Andersen Chris Andersen G 61 20.6 6.0 6.2 0.5 0.6 2.5 1.0 4.0 10.7 -8 6 -1.3 -1.1 51.8 22.2 70.4 -0.07 58.1 52.2
Dahntay Jones G 69 18.2 5.6 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.9 4.2 4.5 -23 12 -1.9 -2.3 47.6 60.0 72.1 -0.22 54.7 49.1
Anthony Carter G 69 22.9 5.2 2.6 4.5 1.2 0.2 1.9 5.0 6.9 6 13 0.5 0.4 42.3 25.0 72.9 0.01 48.3 45.2
Renaldo Balkman G 44 13.7 4.6 3.4 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 3.5 5.7 28 10 2.8 3.2 54.2 16.7 69.2 0.15 57.7 54.6
Johan Petro G 23 8.0 2.0 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.2 2.6 -139 13 -10.7 -11.6 41.2 0.0 45.5 -0.55 42.1 41.2
Chucky Atkins F 10 8.2 1.9 0.3 2.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.0 - - - - 31.6 25.0 100.0 - 45.8 39.5
Jason Hart - 8 3.6 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 - - - - 55.6 0.0 75.0 - 60.4 55.6
Sonny Weems - 11 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.9 -0.2 - - - - 33.3 0.0 37.5 - 34.7 33.3
Cheikh Samb G 5 3.8 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.4 2.0 1.0 - - - - 20.0 0 0 -0.15 20.0 20.0
Juwan Howard F 3 7.4 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.7 - - - - 50.0 0 0 -0.16 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG