🐻⬇️🏀

Central Arkansas

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Central Arkansas Bears
Program History
Coach: John Shulman

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

80.7
PPG
74.9
Opp
+5.8
Margin
45.5%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
35.7
RPG
16.0
APG
10.9
TO
81.3
Pace
75.3
AdjO
76.0
AdjD
#170
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1191 (#46) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1023 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1116 (#42) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -0.7 (#172) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.7 (#159) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.620 (#101) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +31.2 More → 0.962 (#18) NetEff +31.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.481 (#171) AdjNet -0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.480 (#171) AdjNet -0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.485 (#170) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 76.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.632 (#84) AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.810 (#118) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.787 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 32 More → 1145 (#96) RD 144 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 54 - 94
2025-11-08 vs Champion Christian Tigers W 110 - 63
2025-11-11 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 56 - 93
2025-11-16 vs Samford Bulldogs L 77 - 84
2025-11-20 @ North Texas Mean Green L 56 - 74
2025-11-23 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 92 - 65
2025-11-25 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 81 - 60
2025-11-29 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 57 - 80
2025-12-03 vs Little Rock Trojans W 85 - 47
2025-12-13 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 72 - 83
2025-12-17 vs Kansas Christian Falcons W 102 - 47
2025-12-21 @ SMU Mustangs L 82 - 99
2026-01-01 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 85 - 83
2026-01-03 vs Stetson Hatters W 93 - 73
2026-01-08 @ Bellarmine Knights L 78 - 84
2026-01-10 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 75 - 79
2026-01-15 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 62 - 60
2026-01-22 @ West Georgia Wolves W 86 - 65
2026-01-24 @ North Alabama Lions W 72 - 65
2026-01-28 @ Queens University Royals W 100 - 90
2026-01-31 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 90 - 81
2026-02-04 vs North Alabama Lions W 81 - 60
2026-02-07 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 86 - 78
2026-02-11 vs Bellarmine Knights W 84 - 76
2026-02-14 vs West Georgia Wolves W 79 - 62
2026-02-19 @ Stetson Hatters W 88 - 76
2026-02-21 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 71 - 75
2026-02-25 @ Austin Peay Governors W 93 - 88
2026-02-28 vs Queens University Royals W 84 - 79
2026-03-06 vs Bellarmine Knights W 86 - 73
2026-03-07 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 73 - 63
2026-03-08 vs Queens University Royals L 93 - 98

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Hunter C. Hunter - 32 31.1 20.9 4.3 2.8 1.4 0.2 1.8 15.0 12.8 8 0.4 0.6 50.0 36.1 81.5 -0.25 61.4 57.2
T. Robinson T. Robinson - 32 27.6 14.2 5.7 2.0 1.9 0.3 1.1 10.5 12.6 -1 -0.0 -0.1 47.2 38.0 77.6 -0.24 61.1 58.1
J. Guy-King J. Guy-King - 31 22.3 10.1 4.1 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.3 8.0 8.0 24 1.2 3.0 43.3 34.8 73.2 0.21 56.2 52.8
Luke Moore Luke Moore - 32 29.7 9.3 2.7 3.3 1.5 0.1 1.5 8.3 7.2 16 0.7 1.3 39.2 32.0 57.1 -0.06 49.0 46.6
C. McCormick C. McCormick - 30 22.3 9.0 3.4 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.0 6.6 7.1 -3 -0.1 -0.3 46.5 31.4 74.0 -0.12 58.7 54.5
R. Bolden R. Bolden - 2 25.5 7.5 4.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 11.0 2.5 -52 -17.3 -31.0 22.7 18.2 60.0 -0.49 31.0 27.3
Truman Byrne Truman Byrne - 32 16.3 4.2 3.1 1.9 0.2 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.9 -7 -0.3 -0.9 41.1 35.8 88.9 -0.03 57.9 54.7
Harrison Beauchamp Harrison Beauchamp - 32 15.3 4.2 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.8 3.1 3.0 34 1.6 5.4 46.9 46.5 83.3 0.05 65.4 63.8
Malchiah Marable Malchiah Marable - 32 20.7 4.2 4.4 1.5 0.9 0.7 1.3 2.9 7.5 -30 -1.4 -4.0 56.5 0.0 50.8 0.16 56.8 56.5
T. Lee T. Lee - 32 9.0 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.3 -64 -3.0 -13.1 43.9 34.5 65.0 -0.32 55.5 52.6
Chris Mason Chris Mason - 4 9.8 2.0 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 2.5 1.2 -28 -7.0 -28.6 40.0 0.0 0 -0.3 40.0 40.0
P. Applegate P. Applegate G 27 6.6 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.4 17 0.8 6.1 35.4 16.7 80.0 -0.29 45.8 39.6
John Shulman John Shulman - 10 2.8 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 -25 -2.5 -54.8 50.0 50.0 0 -0.13 75.0 75.0
E. Thomas E. Thomas - 9 4.0 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 -33 -1.7 -7.0 25.0 50.0 60.0 -0.13 48.4 37.5
O. Derhmann O. Derhmann - 10 3.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 -30 -3.8 -52.5 14.3 16.7 0 -0.21 21.4 21.4
Rylie Marshall Rylie Marshall G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 145 6.9 12.1 - - - 0.39 - -
R.J. Newton R.J. Newton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG