Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -12 (76-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moore | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Hunter | 32 | 9-16 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 28 | - |
| T. Robinson | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Guy-King | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Marable | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. McCormick | 20 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Byrne | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| H. Beauchamp | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Applegate | 6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Copeland | 38 | 9-18 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| F. Sheridan | 34 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| C. Sirmans III | 30 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Diop | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Doyle | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Macgregor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ratowski | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Leonard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter