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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Stetson Hatters Spread Result
Elo 82.4% 17.6% -
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% -
Margin 82.6% 17.4% -8.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Log Adjusted 86.9% 13.1% -
Points Off/Def 67.1% 32.9% -

Actual: Stetson Hatters -12 (76-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Moore 35 4-11 2-5 1-4 3 3 0 1 2 11 5 -
C. Hunter 32 9-16 6-12 6-6 5 6 4 0 1 30 28 -
T. Robinson 29 4-9 3-6 0-1 5 2 4 0 2 11 11 -
J. Guy-King 26 4-6 0-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
M. Marable 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 4 9 -
C. McCormick 20 4-11 0-5 4-4 2 4 2 0 0 12 9 -
T. Byrne 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 2 8 -
H. Beauchamp 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
P. Applegate 6 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
T. Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Copeland 38 9-18 7-11 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 27 16 -
F. Sheridan 34 5-6 3-4 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 13 17 -
C. Sirmans III 30 4-8 2-3 1-2 1 11 2 1 4 11 14 -
M. Diop 27 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
J. Johnson 25 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
A. Doyle 19 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Macgregor 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ratowski 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
J. Leonard 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter