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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% -
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 9.3% 90.7% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hunter 33 5-14 3-7 5-8 4 1 0 0 2 18 7 -10.2
L. Moore 33 3-11 0-3 0-1 5 5 1 0 2 6 4 -6.0
T. Robinson 29 5-12 0-5 4-5 5 0 2 1 0 14 10 -13.9
J. Guy-King 23 4-8 3-7 2-2 3 0 3 0 2 13 9 -2.6
M. Marable 22 2-2 0-0 4-7 7 2 1 0 2 8 14 +2.9
C. McCormick 18 2-8 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 0 -9.0
T. Byrne 15 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -3.8
H. Beauchamp 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 +5.7
T. Lee 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 +8.8
P. Applegate 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Tanner 31 4-12 1-7 3-4 9 7 2 0 3 12 15 +8.3
T. Nickel 30 10-18 8-15 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 30 16 +10.4
D. Miles 26 2-9 0-6 2-2 2 2 2 1 0 6 4 +11.6
D. McGlockton 26 2-5 0-2 0-0 10 2 2 0 2 4 11 +4.1
AK Okereke 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 8 +1.5
J. Washington 23 2-3 0-0 8-9 7 1 0 0 1 12 16 -6.6
F. Collins 20 1-5 1-4 3-5 3 5 2 0 6 6 5 -4.5
T. Harris 19 4-9 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 9 4 +12.5
C. Bing 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4

* = starter