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Central Arkansas Bears 93
@
Austin Peay Governors 88
2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - ✗
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 ✗ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - ✗

Actual: Austin Peay Governors -5 (88-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hunter 34 6-12 1-5 7-8 6 3 1 0 3 20 15 -
T. Robinson 31 8-11 6-9 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 23 18 -
L. Moore 30 3-7 1-2 2-2 1 3 3 0 2 9 7 -
J. Guy-King 29 14-19 6-10 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 34 22 -
T. Byrne 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Marable 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
H. Beauchamp 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Applegate 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
T. Lee 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parker 38 9-15 5-6 6-8 6 6 1 1 6 29 22 -
Z. Collins 37 3-7 0-2 5-6 5 7 3 0 4 11 15 -
T. McCubbin 37 3-7 2-5 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 10 10 -
R. Marshall 36 8-13 0-0 3-3 9 4 0 0 1 19 18 -
A. Brookshire 35 5-9 5-9 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 17 13 -
J. Robinson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Torain 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Morisch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter