Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barno | 40 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | -1.5 |
| J.R. Konieczny | 34 | 8-16 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +1.5 |
| R. Stewart | 27 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -1.0 |
| D. Williams | 26 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7.2 |
| I. Malone | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +4.9 |
| J. Ellerbee | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | -13.9 |
| M. Duax | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -0.9 |
| T. Guillouette | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| G. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Robinson | 36 | 9-15 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | +6.7 |
| C. Hunter | 35 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +2.7 |
| L. Moore | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3.7 |
| J. Guy-King | 30 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +10.7 |
| C. McCormick | 26 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -4.2 |
| M. Marable | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -3.0 |
| T. Byrne | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
| H. Beauchamp | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| T. Lee | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter