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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Kentucky Colonels Central Arkansas Bears Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 13.7% 86.3% -
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Buttry 31 0-4 0-3 7-8 1 6 0 0 4 7 6 +8.4
M. Myrick 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 4 6 +1.4
J. Cranford Jr. 25 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
T. Jackson 24 5-13 4-10 0-4 4 1 1 0 3 14 4 +3.5
M. Williams 23 3-9 1-6 7-8 10 7 0 0 0 14 22 +4.5
J. Holt 20 5-6 4-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 16 10 -3.7
J. Cooper 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 4 3 +7.3
J. Harris 17 5-11 3-7 3-4 6 0 0 0 2 16 9 -2.7
Y. Paul 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 +2.1
A. White 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hunter 35 13-19 3-7 3-9 7 4 0 2 2 32 24 -1.7
L. Moore 31 3-6 0-1 6-9 1 7 3 0 0 12 17 -4.6
T. Robinson 29 5-14 2-9 1-3 4 3 3 0 0 13 9 -3.6
J. Guy-King 25 4-10 3-7 0-1 9 0 0 0 0 11 10 -6.7
M. Marable 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 2 3 -2.4
T. Byrne 19 2-4 1-3 1-1 6 2 0 0 1 6 9 +1.6
C. McCormick 15 4-6 1-3 2-3 1 2 1 0 0 11 9 +2.8
H. Beauchamp 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -2.1
P. Applegate 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -2.0
T. Lee 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter