Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Sterck | 36 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +6.6 |
| J. Thirdkill Jr. | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +2.5 |
| H. Wood | 31 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +4.5 |
| C. Lockett Jr. | 25 | 2-14 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +10.1 |
| J. Jones | 21 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +4.5 |
| D. Rivers | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +2.5 |
| C. Caporaso | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +8.2 |
| J. Jordon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.3 |
| C. Arias | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.2 |
| A. Udemadu | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| R. Loux | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moore | 36 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | -3.8 |
| C. Hunter | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -8.8 |
| T. Robinson | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -3.7 |
| C. McCormick | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -4.7 |
| M. Marable | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3.6 |
| T. Byrne | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -7.2 |
| H. Beauchamp | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.2 |
| T. Lee | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| P. Applegate | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -6.2 |
* = starter