Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Bellarmine Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bellarmine Knights +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Robinson | 40 | 7-16 | 5-13 | 5-5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 23 | -9.0 |
| Camren Hunter | 39 | 9-22 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | -10.1 |
| Javion Guy-King | 33 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Luke Moore | 31 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Cole McCormick | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Malchiah Marable | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Harrison Beauchamp | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -9.4 |
| Truman Byrne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Tyler Lee | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Parker Applegate | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Goodin | 41 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | +7.5 |
| Sam Donald | 39 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | +15.6 |
| Brian Waddell | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -2.9 |
| Tyler Doyle | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | -3.9 |
| Donovan Hunter | 21 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +11.8 |
| Jack Karasinski | 20 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | +3.6 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8.1 |
| Darrius Bolden | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +14.1 |
| Grant Whitaker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Tommy Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter