Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +37 (93-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bolden | 27 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -25.7 |
| C. Hunter * | 28 | 7-18 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | -31.1 |
| T. Robinson * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -15.8 |
| C. McCormick * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -19.9 |
| M. Marable * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
| J. Guy-King | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -17.0 |
| L. Moore | 20 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -2.6 |
| T. Lee | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -9.7 |
| T. Byrne | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.4 |
| C. Mason | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -22.1 |
| P. Applegate | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| H. Beauchamp | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Acuff Jr. * | 34 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +25.5 |
| M. Thomas * | 32 | 6-17 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +35.4 |
| D.J. Wagner * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +9.5 |
| K. Knox * | 24 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 22 | +19.8 |
| N. Pringle * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +21.8 |
| M. Ewin | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +23.1 |
| B. Richmond III | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.9 |
| I. Sealy | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +21.1 |
* = starter