Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hunter | 39 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | -0.3 |
| L. Moore | 39 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +0.8 |
| M. Marable | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3.1 |
| T. Robinson | 29 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +1.9 |
| C. McCormick | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.2 |
| T. Lee | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.8 |
| J. Guy-King | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.1 |
| T. Byrne | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
| H. Beauchamp | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -5.0 |
| P. Applegate | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cranford Jr. | 32 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| T. Buttry | 32 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| A. Ball | 28 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +4.2 |
| J. Holt | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Y. Paul | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.0 |
| J. Cooper | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +4.3 |
| M. Myrick | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1.0 |
| A. White | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.1 |
| M. Williams | 12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +1.2 |
| J. Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.9 |
* = starter