Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barno | 38 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Duax | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Ellerbee | 34 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| J.R. Konieczny | 32 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| I. Malone | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| R. Stewart | 18 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Williams | 14 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Reddick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hunter | 33 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| L. Moore | 32 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Guy-King | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| T. Robinson | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. McCormick | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Marable | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Beauchamp | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Byrne | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lee | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter