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Cal Poly Mustangs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2025 Team Stats (5 games)

50.8
PPG
62.4
Opp
-11.6
Margin
36.5%
FG%
24.2%
3P%
60.5%
FT%
38.0
RPG
15.4
APG
20.2
TO
80.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 817 (#586) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -6.5 (#378) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.249 (#578) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.262 (#418) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.243 (#445) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 26 More → 671 (#584) RD 156 | GP 26

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 vs UC Merced Bobcats W 72 - 40
2024-11-09 @ USC Trojans L 35 - 90
2024-12-16 @ UCLA Bruins L 37 - 69
2025-03-12 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 56 - 54
2025-03-13 @ UC San Diego Tritons L 54 - 59

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Carter M. Carter G 5 31.2 11.2 5.4 1.0 0.8 0.4 1.4 11.2 6.2 40 1.2 1.6 41.1 35.0 75.0 0.88 48.5 47.3
S. Lichtie S. Lichtie F 4 28.2 9.2 8.5 3.2 1.8 0.0 3.2 9.2 10.2 -11 -0.4 -0.4 37.8 18.2 87.5 -0.4 45.7 40.5
A. Shah A. Shah G 5 29.8 7.8 1.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 10.2 -1.0 3 0.1 0.1 31.4 26.9 0.0 0.28 37.6 38.2
S. Bourland S. Bourland G 5 25.8 7.6 4.6 3.2 1.0 0.2 2.4 7.6 6.6 38 1.2 1.4 44.7 33.3 50.0 1.31 46.8 46.1
S. Richards S. Richards G 4 24.0 6.8 4.8 1.8 1.0 0.2 1.8 7.0 5.8 29 1.0 1.5 35.7 14.3 75.0 0.47 42.8 37.5
G. Bears G. Bears F 3 13.3 4.7 2.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 4.0 3.0 -8 -0.4 -2.2 50.0 0 66.7 -0.37 52.6 50.0
G. Robinson G. Robinson G 5 14.2 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.8 3.8 0.4 11 0.4 1.0 36.8 33.3 0.0 0.28 43.7 44.7
A. Hiraki A. Hiraki G 3 24.7 2.7 3.7 2.0 1.7 0.0 3.0 4.7 2.3 51 2.0 2.5 14.3 11.1 50.0 1.34 24.0 17.9
N. Perez N. Perez F 4 14.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.8 2.8 0 0.0 0.0 45.5 0.0 0 -0.12 45.5 45.5
A. Moleon Hidalgo A. Moleon Hidalgo G 3 11.7 2.0 1.7 0.7 1.3 0.0 1.3 2.0 2.3 23 1.2 6.5 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.32 43.6 33.3
A. Knapp A. Knapp F 3 3.0 0.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 0 0.0 -1.46 29.1 33.3
A. Goosby A. Goosby G 5 14.0 0.0 1.6 2.2 0.8 0.0 1.8 1.2 1.6 54 1.8 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.54 0.0 0.0
S. Cohen S. Cohen G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.73 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG