Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Carter | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Annika Shah | 36 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Sierra Lichtie | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Ashley Hiraki | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sidney Richards | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Bourland | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Gabby Robinson | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Alana Goosby | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Marin | 37 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Zoe Borter | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Skylar Burke | 28 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Olivia Bradley | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cayla Williams | 21 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Grant | 21 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Anya Choice | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Laurel Rockwood | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Martha Pietsch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter