Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.3% | 99.7% | +45.5 | β (13.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +47.1 | β (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | β |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +32 (69-37). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hiraki | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Annika Shah | 28 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 | -0.2 |
| Mary Carter | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Sydney Bourland | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Sidney Richards | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Gabby Robinson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Nora Perez | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Gillian Bears | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Alana Goosby | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Avery Knapp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela DugaliΓΒ | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | +5.6 |
| Londynn Jones | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Janiah Barker | 27 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Janiah Barker | 27 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Kendall Dudley | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Elina Aarnisalo | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Kiki Rice | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Timea Gardiner | 16 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Avary Cain | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.1 |
* = starter