Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +22 (60-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Shah | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -16.3 |
| Sidney Richards | 32 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8 | -10.7 |
| Mary Carter | 32 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -20.7 |
| Ashley Hiraki | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -19.7 |
| Sydney Bourland | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Sierra Lichtie | 17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Alana Goosby | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Gabby Robinson | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Nora Perez | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Gillian Bears | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Tom | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +21.1 |
| Summah Hanson | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +16.5 |
| Hunter Hernandez | 23 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Deja Lee | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +6.8 |
| Olivia Williams | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +7.1 |
| Amelia Scharpf | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +14.9 |
| Shirel Nahum | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.9 |
| Nevaeh Dean | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Ines Gnahore | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.5 |
| Lauryn Madsen | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Clara Djoko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Haley Hernandez | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Reese Noa | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.6 |
* = starter