Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | -7.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -20 (54-74). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hope Hassmann * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Anja Bukvic * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Olivia Nelson * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +11.6 |
| Rosie Schweizer * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Jennifer Aadland * | 21 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +5.1 |
| A. Passos Alves da Silva | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Ella Uriarte | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.5 |
| Sarah Brans | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Ana Pinheiro | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Mackenzie Curtis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Vitoria Carvalho | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Catelyn Deaver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Lichtie * | 31 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3 | -6.8 |
| Sydney Bourland * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Annika Shah * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | -5.0 |
| Mary Carter * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Alana Goosby * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -17.2 |
| Nora Perez | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Sidney Richards | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +7.1 |
| Gabby Robinson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Gillian Bears | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.4 |
* = starter