Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Shah | 38 | 8-22 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Sydney Bourland | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | +9.6 |
| Sidney Richards | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Ashley Hiraki | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +13.2 |
| Sierra Lichtie | 25 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Mary Carter | 23 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Gillian Bears | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Alana Goosby | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Gabby Robinson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Nora Perez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah Tucker | 40 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Rachel Loobie | 31 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | -12.8 |
| JaQuoia Jones-Brown | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | +9.5 |
| Patricia Chung | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -7.4 |
| Jada Crawshaw | 22 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3 | -5.2 |
| Kennan Ka | 20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Lovely Sonnier | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Mykelle Richards | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.7 |
* = starter