Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +25 (67-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydnie Rodriguez | 32 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -8.3 |
| Candy Edokpaigbe | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Sophie Benharouga | 24 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Tamia Stricklin | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -17.2 |
| Taisiya Kozlova | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -12.6 |
| Sheridan Liggett | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | -18.2 |
| Lucy Larson | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +7.5 |
| Christeina Bryan | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -13.5 |
| Nicole Benini | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +5.9 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Carter | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Annika Shah | 29 | 10-19 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 12 | +17.7 |
| Ashley Hiraki | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Sydney Bourland | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +12.1 |
| Sidney Richards | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +11.9 |
| Alana Goosby | 16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Nora Perez | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +11.3 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.7 |
| Gabby Robinson | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Gillian Bears | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Avery Knapp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.8 |
* = starter