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Virginia

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia
Program History
Coach: Tony Bennett

2019 Team Stats (29 games)

70.6
PPG
56.3
Opp
+14.2
Margin
47.0%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
35.3
RPG
13.9
APG
9.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.2
Adj PPG
51.7
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1484 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1278 (#1) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +23.9 (#3) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +21.6 (#3) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.941 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +37.3 More → 0.987 (#1) AdjNet +37.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.7 More → 0.987 (#1) AdjNet +37.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 51.7 More → 0.886 (#3) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 51.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.802 (#3) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.945 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.938 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 38 More → 1521 (#1) RD 91 | GP 38

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Towson Tigers W 73 - 42
2018-11-11 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 76 - 57
2018-11-16 vs Coppin State Eagles W 97 - 40
2018-11-21 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 74 - 52
2018-11-22 @ Dayton Flyers W 66 - 59
2018-11-23 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 53 - 46
2018-11-28 @ Maryland Terrapins W 76 - 71
2018-12-03 vs Morgan State Bears W 83 - 45
2018-12-09 vs VCU Rams W 57 - 49
2018-12-19 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 69 - 52
2018-12-22 vs William & Mary Tribe W 72 - 40
2018-12-31 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 100 - 64
2019-01-05 vs Florida State Seminoles W 65 - 52
2019-01-09 @ Boston College Eagles W 83 - 56
2019-01-12 @ Clemson Tigers W 63 - 43
2019-01-15 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 81 - 59
2019-01-19 @ Duke Blue Devils L 70 - 72
2019-01-22 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 68 - 45
2019-01-26 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 82 - 55
2019-01-29 @ NC State Wolfpack W 66 - 65
2019-02-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 56 - 46
2019-02-09 vs Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 81
2019-02-11 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 69 - 61
2019-02-16 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 60 - 54
2019-02-18 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 64 - 58
2019-02-23 @ Louisville Cardinals W 64 - 52
2019-02-27 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 81 - 51
2019-03-02 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 73 - 49
2019-03-04 @ Syracuse Orange W 79 - 53
2019-03-09 vs Louisville Cardinals W 73 - 68
2019-03-14 vs NC State Wolfpack W 76 - 56
2019-03-15 vs Florida State Seminoles L 59 - 69
2019-03-22 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 71 - 56
2019-03-24 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 63 - 51
2019-03-28 vs Oregon Ducks W 53 - 49
2019-03-30 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 80 - 75
2019-04-06 vs Auburn Tigers W 63 - 62
2019-04-08 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 85 - 77

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyle Guy Kyle Guy - 38 35.4 15.4 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 1.4 10.7 10.7 495 34 14.6 17.1 44.9 42.5 82.9 4.74 66.8 58.6
De'Andre Hunter De'Andre Hunter - 38 32.5 15.2 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.6 1.4 9.2 12.9 497 34 14.6 18.5 51.6 42.7 80.0 8.63 70.1 57.4
Ty Jerome Ty Jerome - 37 33.9 13.6 4.2 5.5 1.5 0.0 1.6 9.8 13.4 421 33 12.8 15.6 42.4 38.0 75.0 1.4 63.0 51.4
Mamadi Diakite Mamadi Diakite - 38 21.8 7.4 4.4 0.3 0.4 1.7 0.9 5.3 8.1 347 34 10.2 19.3 55.4 27.3 71.7 4.16 63.4 56.2
Braxton Key Braxton Key - 38 19.8 5.7 5.3 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.7 4.1 8.6 246 34 7.2 14.7 42.2 28.3 72.1 -0.98 59.4 47.1
Kihei Clark Kihei Clark G 38 26.8 4.5 2.3 2.6 0.7 0.0 1.0 3.5 5.6 306 34 9.0 14.2 34.3 34.2 85.3 1.16 57.7 43.7
Jay Huff Jay Huff - 34 9.3 4.4 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 2.6 4.7 108 30 3.6 14.8 58.6 41.4 70.4 0.08 75.8 65.5
Jack Salt Jack Salt C 37 16.6 3.7 3.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.3 5.5 154 33 4.7 11.6 58.3 0 52.3 -2.24 65.8 58.3
Kody Stattmann Kody Stattmann G 18 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 -16 16 -1.0 -10.5 47.1 33.3 80.0 -2.24 78.1 58.8
Grant Kersey Grant Kersey G 9 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.4 0 8 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 -0.4 154.8 125.0
Marco Anthony Marco Anthony G 22 5.4 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 -1 19 -0.1 -0.4 25.0 20.0 72.7 -1.51 52.3 27.5
Austin Katstra Austin Katstra F 11 2.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 -6 10 -0.6 -10.1 28.6 16.7 0 -1.73 71.4 35.7
Jayden Nixon Jayden Nixon G 14 3.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 -6 12 -0.5 -6.9 33.3 0.0 50.0 -1.16 58.1 33.3
Francesco Badocchi Francesco Badocchi F 12 2.4 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -20 11 -1.8 -28.1 50.0 0.0 50.0 -2.04 51.2 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG